Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.9% | 45.1% | -1.1 | ✗ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +1 (93-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 29 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 19 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 4 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 12 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrett Jack * | 42 | 8-19 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Trevor Ariza * | 40 | 0-10 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Marco Belinelli * | 39 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| David West * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 25 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Emeka Okafor * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Willie Green * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Gray * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter