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2011-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 61.6% 38.4% -
Bradley-Terry 49.7% 50.3% -
Margin 51.0% 49.0% -0.2 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +1 (93-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 35 10-18 0-0 6-6 4 3 1 0 1 26 15 -
Jason Kidd * 34 0-7 0-5 3-3 1 7 1 0 0 3 5 -
Jason Terry * 29 4-10 2-4 0-0 1 5 0 0 0 10 6 -
Tyson Chandler * 24 4-5 0-0 8-12 13 0 0 1 1 16 24 -
Brendan Haywood * 23 1-2 0-0 2-5 6 0 1 1 0 4 10 -
Shawn Marion * 22 3-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 2 0 7 8 -
J.J. Barea * 19 4-7 2-4 2-2 1 3 0 0 5 12 4 -
DeShawn Stevenson * 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Rodrigue Beaubois * 12 4-10 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 9 0 -
Brian Cardinal 21 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 5 4 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Jack * 42 8-19 0-1 5-5 6 7 0 0 2 21 13 -
Trevor Ariza * 40 0-10 0-3 6-8 9 0 2 1 2 6 6 -
Marco Belinelli * 39 8-15 4-7 1-3 5 1 0 0 0 21 12 -
David West * 37 5-12 0-0 6-8 10 4 0 1 1 16 18 -
Carl Landry * 25 7-9 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 15 10 -
Emeka Okafor * 24 3-4 0-0 2-3 6 0 2 1 2 8 11 -
Willie Green * 21 3-9 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 6 1 -
Aaron Gray * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter