Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -9 (96-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 41 | 11-20 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Gerald Wallace * | 34 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 32 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Roy * | 23 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Patty Mills * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 45 | 14-20 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 27 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 12-21 | 2-8 | 12-13 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 28 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 40 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 34 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| James Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter