Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | -2.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -10 (85-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 42 | 9-21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 39 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| David Lee * | 26 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Al Thornton * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Acie Law * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Lou Amundson * | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Reggie Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samardo Samuels * | 30 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 30 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 28 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Christian Eyenga * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 21 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Gee * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Joey Graham | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter