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2011-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 32.2% 67.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% -
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 (17.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -14 (87-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pau Gasol * 36 6-16 0-0 2-2 11 5 2 0 2 14 14 -
Andrew Bynum * 34 8-10 0-0 0-0 16 3 0 3 1 16 27 -
Kobe Bryant * 32 8-18 1-4 9-11 6 4 1 1 1 26 19 -
Metta World Peace * 31 3-8 0-2 1-2 2 3 1 0 1 7 4 -
Derek Fisher * 31 4-8 1-2 2-2 2 3 1 0 1 11 8 -
Lamar Odom * 24 5-8 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 12 7 -
Matt Barnes * 16 1-1 1-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 5 8 -
Steve Blake * 16 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 4 1 0 2 3 3 -
Shannon Brown * 16 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 3 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Horford * 40 8-16 1-1 0-0 9 3 1 0 0 17 14 -
Joe Johnson * 38 4-14 1-5 2-2 1 2 0 0 3 11 -3 -
Josh Smith * 37 6-13 2-4 2-5 6 6 2 0 2 16 15 -
Kirk Hinrich * 31 5-10 2-5 0-0 2 4 1 1 3 12 7 -
Marvin Williams * 22 1-5 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 4 4 -
Jamal Crawford * 22 2-8 1-5 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
Zaza Pachulia * 22 3-8 0-0 2-2 10 2 1 0 0 8 13 -
Damien Wilkins * 16 4-6 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 10 7 -
Jeff Teague * 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter