Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.4% | 52.6% | +0.6 | ✗ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -3 (105-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 27 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 10-10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 17 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 15 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 17 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Beasley * | 37 | 8-22 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Love * | 35 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 5-6 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 30 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 34 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Wayne Ellington * | 31 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Anthony Tolliver * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Wesley Johnson * | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Nikola Pekovic * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jonny Flynn * | 13 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Randolph * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter