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2011-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 69.8% 30.2% -
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% -
Margin 48.1% 51.9% +0.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -6 (83-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ray Allen * 38 5-12 2-3 1-1 2 3 2 0 1 13 7 -
Rajon Rondo * 38 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 8 2 0 8 6 5 -
Paul Pierce * 37 8-13 1-2 6-6 5 4 1 1 4 23 17 -
Kevin Garnett * 33 6-12 0-0 2-2 11 3 3 1 2 14 18 -
Nenad Krstic * 29 7-8 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 1 0 17 14 -
Jeff Green * 27 5-8 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 11 5 -
Troy Murphy * 14 0-2 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 0 2 6 -
Sasha Pavlovic * 11 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 3 2 -
Avery Bradley * 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 0 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Jennings * 40 8-19 3-7 4-5 6 5 3 1 4 23 15 -
Luc Mbah a Moute * 37 8-13 0-0 3-5 7 1 2 0 3 19 13 -
John Salmons * 34 4-13 1-4 2-3 2 6 4 0 3 11 7 -
Jon Brockman * 33 2-4 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 0 4 11 -
Carlos Delfino * 29 2-7 2-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 1 -
Larry Sanders * 24 4-10 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 8 5 -
Keyon Dooling * 13 3-7 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 7 1 -
Chris Douglas-Roberts * 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
Corey Maggette * 11 2-5 1-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 5 5 -

* = starter