Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✗ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -1 (103-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Randolph * | 42 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 35 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 28 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 22 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 19 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Sam Young * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Ish Smith | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Haywood * | 38 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 17 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 33 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 33 | 9-17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 16 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 14 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Corey Brewer | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter