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2011-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 37.2% 62.8% -
Bradley-Terry 30.8% 69.2% -
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +4 (122-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grant Hill * 40 0-6 0-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 4 0 -2 -
Vince Carter * 39 11-22 6-12 1-3 4 4 1 0 1 29 15 -
Steve Nash * 39 5-11 0-2 1-1 2 14 0 0 2 11 14 -
Marcin Gortat * 38 9-18 0-0 2-2 8 4 0 3 1 20 16 -
Channing Frye * 31 5-12 1-2 0-0 15 3 0 0 0 11 17 -
Jared Dudley * 23 4-6 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 10 6 -
Mickael Pietrus * 20 8-13 4-6 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 20 7 -
Aaron Brooks * 12 3-5 1-3 2-3 3 3 1 0 2 9 9 -
Robin Lopez * 10 3-7 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
Hakim Warrick * 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 0 2 1 2 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 44 3-14 1-3 11-12 8 2 2 2 3 18 15 -
Russell Westbrook * 40 9-18 1-2 13-18 2 11 2 0 5 32 24 -
James Harden * 36 8-12 2-4 8-9 6 4 2 0 0 26 26 -
Thabo Sefolosha * 34 3-5 1-3 1-2 9 2 0 2 2 8 14 -
Serge Ibaka * 31 6-11 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 4 1 15 14 -
Nick Collison * 28 5-6 0-0 1-1 9 2 1 0 2 11 15 -
Daequan Cook * 18 3-9 2-7 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 8 2 -
Nazr Mohammed * 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
Eric Maynor * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 3 -

* = starter