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2011-03-06

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 32.6% 67.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% - โœ—
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 โœ— (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% - โœ—
Efficiency 52.1% 47.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.6% 50.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 49.6% 50.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% - โœ—

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -13 (79-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Landry Fields * 39 6-11 2-4 1-2 4 4 2 0 0 15 14 -
Amar'e Stoudemire * 39 10-20 0-0 6-6 7 2 3 1 2 26 17 -
Toney Douglas * 33 4-9 1-4 1-2 5 7 1 0 2 10 12 -
Carmelo Anthony * 30 6-18 0-3 2-5 7 7 1 0 5 14 6 -
Shawne Williams * 27 4-8 4-6 0-0 6 0 2 1 1 12 12 -
Jared Jeffries * 26 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 0 4 -
Roger Mason Jr. * 25 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 5 5 -
Anthony Carter * 14 4-5 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 10 7 -
Shelden Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Horford * 40 2-8 0-0 0-0 7 5 1 0 3 4 6 -
Josh Smith * 36 8-17 1-2 0-0 11 1 0 0 4 17 8 -
Joe Johnson * 36 7-15 0-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 14 3 -
Kirk Hinrich * 34 6-9 3-4 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 15 10 -
Marvin Williams * 29 2-7 0-1 4-4 6 0 0 3 1 8 9 -
Jamal Crawford * 27 5-13 2-5 2-2 0 1 0 0 4 14 -2 -
Jeff Teague * 11 2-4 0-1 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
Damien Wilkins * 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
Zaza Pachulia * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Hilton Armstrong 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter