Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✗ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -1 (86-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luol Deng * | 42 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Rose * | 38 | 12-23 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 8 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 33 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 41 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| LeBron James * | 41 | 10-18 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 8-19 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 31 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 31 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| James Jones * | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter