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2011-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 37.0% 63.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.9% 48.1% - โœ“
Margin 39.2% 60.8% +2.4 โœ— (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 51.0% 49.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 51.0% 49.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% - โœ—

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -14 (88-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Channing Frye * 36 7-12 5-8 1-1 9 1 2 0 1 20 19 -
Mickael Pietrus * 34 8-14 3-7 1-2 8 2 0 0 2 20 14 -
Grant Hill * 33 4-9 2-4 4-4 7 3 2 0 3 14 14 -
Marcin Gortat * 32 5-11 0-0 3-5 6 1 1 1 0 13 11 -
Steve Nash * 27 3-6 1-1 1-1 1 13 0 0 7 8 9 -
Aaron Brooks * 20 3-7 0-2 1-1 0 3 2 0 2 7 3 -
Jared Dudley * 19 3-8 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 6 3 -
Robin Lopez * 14 1-4 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Hakim Warrick * 11 3-4 0-0 3-5 2 1 0 0 0 9 8 -
Josh Childress * 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Zabian Dowdell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Garret Siler 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Salmons * 35 2-8 0-2 2-2 4 3 0 1 1 6 5 -
Brandon Jennings * 33 5-17 0-5 6-7 4 1 2 0 2 16 4 -
Jon Brockman * 28 1-4 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 2 3 4 -
Corey Maggette * 27 8-12 1-1 4-4 9 0 1 0 1 21 18 -
Larry Sanders * 26 5-10 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 2 10 5 -
Carlos Delfino * 26 1-7 1-2 0-0 9 3 5 0 3 3 10 -
Keyon Dooling * 24 3-7 1-3 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 9 4 -
Earl Boykins * 20 7-13 0-2 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 14 6 -
Earl Barron * 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
Chris Douglas-Roberts 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter