Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +8 (116-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 35 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 27 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Paul George * | 21 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 19 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 19 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| AJ Price * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Lance Stephenson * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 10-12 | 0-1 | 9-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 32 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 30 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 17 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 14 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter