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2011-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 42.2% 57.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% -
Margin 50.6% 49.4% -0.1 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -8 (81-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 38 7-14 1-3 1-2 6 3 2 0 4 16 9 -
Derrick Rose * 35 9-20 0-5 6-8 4 4 2 0 5 24 9 -
Carlos Boozer * 32 5-17 0-0 2-4 9 2 1 0 3 12 4 -
Omer Asik * 31 2-3 0-0 1-3 13 1 0 2 3 5 15 -
Ronnie Brewer * 21 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 4 6 -
Keith Bogans * 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 1 -
Joakim Noah * 16 0-3 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 0 0 2 7 -
Taj Gibson * 15 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 5 5 -
C.J. Watson * 12 3-7 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
Kyle Korver 18 3-7 3-4 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 10 5 -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwight Howard * 43 8-8 0-0 4-12 10 0 2 4 7 20 21 -
Jason Richardson * 38 6-13 4-7 0-0 5 0 3 0 1 16 10 -
Jameer Nelson * 33 7-15 0-2 0-0 3 6 1 0 4 14 5 -
Brandon Bass * 32 6-9 0-0 4-4 3 1 1 2 1 16 13 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 29 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 1 -
JJ Redick * 23 2-9 1-5 2-4 1 2 1 0 0 7 2 -
Ryan Anderson * 20 1-5 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
Gilbert Arenas * 14 0-5 0-4 3-3 0 2 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Quentin Richardson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter