Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -3 (96-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 44 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 31 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 39 | 9-14 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 34 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 30 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Anderson * | 22 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Quentin Richardson * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 15 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 10-18 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 22 | - |
| LeBron James * | 39 | 11-16 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 23 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 39 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 31 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 24 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| James Jones | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter