Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | -2.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -10 (99-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill * | 33 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 22 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 20 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| James Anderson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Steve Novak | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Gee * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Samardo Samuels * | 33 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Ramon Sessions * | 32 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Manny Harris * | 27 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Joey Graham * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Hollins * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Luke Harangody * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Christian Eyenga | 16 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
* = starter