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2011-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 42.3% 57.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +3 (83-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 44 6-14 3-7 0-0 5 3 2 1 2 15 10 -
Derrick Rose * 37 5-21 0-6 2-3 5 12 1 0 6 12 3 -
Carlos Boozer * 33 5-11 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 2 11 7 -
Joakim Noah * 33 3-6 0-0 7-10 12 4 1 1 2 13 23 -
Keith Bogans * 18 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
Ronnie Brewer * 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 4 3 -
Taj Gibson * 14 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
Omer Asik * 14 1-2 0-0 2-4 9 1 0 2 1 4 13 -
C.J. Watson * 10 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 1 -2 -
Kyle Korver 17 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Horford * 41 13-20 1-1 4-7 16 2 2 0 4 31 27 -
Joe Johnson * 39 5-20 1-4 1-2 7 9 2 0 1 12 9 -
Kirk Hinrich * 31 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 1 -
Jamal Crawford * 30 5-13 1-4 1-1 1 4 2 1 2 12 5 -
Marvin Williams * 29 4-10 1-1 1-1 4 1 2 1 2 10 6 -
Zaza Pachulia * 19 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Jason Collins * 16 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Damien Wilkins * 12 1-2 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
Josh Powell * 7 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Jeff Teague * 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
Hilton Armstrong * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter