Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.1 | ✗ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +16 (109-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jefferson * | 27 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 27 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| George Hill * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 21 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| James Anderson * | 17 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Antonio McDyess | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Steve Novak | 8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Randolph * | 36 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 33 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 30 | 9-19 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Sam Young * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 19 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Hamed Haddadi * | 4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rodney Carney | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter