Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +9 (109-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monta Ellis * | 37 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 7-17 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 12 | - |
| David Lee * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 25 | 10-14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 24 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Acie Law * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lou Amundson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Lin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Hibbert * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 32 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 16-16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Paul George * | 16 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 15 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| AJ Price * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Lance Stephenson | 14 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
* = starter