Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (100-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 40 | 10-23 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 4 | - |
| Al Horford * | 40 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 36 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 34 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 30 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 13 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nene Hilario * | 35 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Wilson Chandler * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Raymond Felton * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| JR Smith * | 25 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter