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2011-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 68.7% 31.3% -
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% -
Margin 49.4% 50.6% +0.1 (28.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -

Actual: Washington Wizards -28 (77-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 35 9-17 2-5 1-1 5 3 2 0 2 21 12 -
Joakim Noah * 33 8-10 0-0 3-4 11 1 2 1 4 19 20 -
Derrick Rose * 32 7-17 2-8 5-6 5 9 3 1 4 21 18 -
Carlos Boozer * 27 3-11 0-0 6-6 10 1 0 0 2 12 10 -
Kyle Korver * 23 4-10 3-6 0-0 6 1 0 1 2 11 7 -
Taj Gibson * 20 2-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 3 0 4 13 -
Ronnie Brewer * 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
Keith Bogans * 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
C.J. Watson * 15 2-5 0-2 4-5 1 6 0 0 2 8 8 -
Omer Asik * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 2 7 -
Brian Scalabrine 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
John Wall * 38 3-14 0-0 3-4 3 10 2 0 2 9 8 -
Nick Young * 36 6-15 2-6 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 14 4 -
Andray Blatche * 28 6-14 0-0 3-3 11 1 1 0 1 15 13 -
JaVale McGee * 27 1-3 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 2 1 5 11 -
Trevor Booker * 19 2-6 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 2 1 4 4 -
Maurice Evans * 19 3-7 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 7 1 -
Josh Howard * 18 5-10 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 10 5 -
Kevin Seraphin * 18 2-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 2 2 6 4 -
Jordan Crawford * 15 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 2 3 0 4 2 -2 -
Rashard Lewis * 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
Mustafa Shakur * 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jianlian Yi 2 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

* = starter