Model Predictions
| Model | New York Knicks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.7% | 85.3% | +9.7 | ✗ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -5 (86-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 40 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 36 | 10-22 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 34 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Shawne Williams * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Landry Fields * | 27 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Henry Walker * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Toney Douglas * | 14 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Renaldo Balkman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 40 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 5-15 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 11 | - |
| LeBron James * | 39 | 10-20 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 26 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Eddie House * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| James Jones | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter