Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.7 | ✗ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -18 (96-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 11-20 | 2-4 | 7-10 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 25 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 29 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 23 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| James Johnson * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jose Calderon * | 35 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 34 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 21 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 14 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Solomon Alabi | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter