Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.3% | 43.7% | -1.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -6 (99-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 33 | 6-18 | 1-1 | 8-11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 32 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 31 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 23 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 31 | 10-18 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 18 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 13 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashard Lewis * | 32 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| John Wall * | 32 | 11-26 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 5 | - |
| Nick Young * | 31 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 28 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Crawford * | 16 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin * | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jianlian Yi | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter