Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.2% | 79.8% | +7.6 | ✗ (23.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -16 (79-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 34 | 11-18 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Al Horford * | 34 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 28 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 25 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 25 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorell Wright * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 31 | 7-21 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 1 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| David Lee * | 25 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 22 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Acie Law * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lou Amundson | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jeremy Lin | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
* = starter