Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +8 (121-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wall * | 38 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 9-12 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Nick Young * | 36 | 12-19 | 6-8 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 22 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 35 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 20 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 14 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jianlian Yi | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Crawford | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 42 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 15-19 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 33 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 40 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 18-27 | 2-3 | 3-9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 41 | 21 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Eddie House * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| James Jones * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter