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2011-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 57.3% 42.7% -
Bradley-Terry 36.9% 63.1% -
Margin 28.4% 71.6% +5.1 (23.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -18 (92-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcin Gortat * 33 7-9 0-0 3-4 11 0 0 1 2 17 18 -
Steve Nash * 30 2-12 0-3 3-4 7 11 0 0 1 7 12 -
Vince Carter * 29 7-12 2-4 1-1 7 0 6 1 0 17 19 -
Channing Frye * 28 6-14 3-8 1-2 4 2 0 0 0 16 8 -
Grant Hill * 22 1-4 0-1 6-6 2 2 1 2 3 8 8 -
Jared Dudley * 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 0 -1 -
Mickael Pietrus * 20 4-11 1-3 5-6 1 0 2 0 2 14 4 -
Hakim Warrick * 19 5-8 0-0 2-4 3 0 2 0 1 12 8 -
Zabian Dowdell * 17 3-3 0-0 2-2 2 5 1 0 1 8 12 -
Robin Lopez * 11 3-5 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 8 5 -
Josh Childress 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Garret Siler 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrea Bargnani * 35 12-15 0-0 2-5 4 1 1 0 3 26 14 -
James Johnson * 27 2-6 0-1 2-2 3 2 2 0 2 6 5 -
Leandro Barbosa * 26 7-13 1-2 0-1 1 2 0 0 2 15 3 -
DeMar DeRozan * 24 6-11 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 3 14 4 -
Jerryd Bayless * 24 2-5 0-1 6-7 5 5 1 0 1 10 15 -
Jose Calderon * 23 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 7 0 0 3 0 4 -
Ed Davis * 23 5-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 2 2 11 9 -
Amir Johnson * 21 4-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
Alexis Ajinca * 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Sonny Weems * 11 0-5 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 -1 -
Julian Wright 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 0 1 -
Solomon Alabi 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter