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2011-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 43.3% 56.7% -
Bradley-Terry 42.6% 57.4% -
Margin 41.8% 58.2% +1.8 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets +14 (89-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rajon Rondo * 43 2-7 0-0 1-2 4 8 2 0 1 5 11 -
Kevin Garnett * 38 7-14 0-0 0-0 13 3 2 2 0 14 20 -
Glen Davis * 35 3-10 0-1 5-7 6 1 3 2 3 11 10 -
Ray Allen * 34 4-11 1-5 1-1 2 3 1 0 4 10 1 -
Paul Pierce * 28 7-18 2-6 1-1 6 0 3 1 2 17 7 -
Delonte West * 23 4-11 0-4 2-2 2 2 2 0 0 10 5 -
Chris Johnson * 16 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 3 1 6 6 -
Von Wafer * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Avery Bradley * 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nene Hilario * 31 5-9 0-0 2-3 10 1 0 2 4 12 12 -
Arron Afflalo * 30 5-8 0-2 3-3 1 3 0 1 1 13 9 -
Raymond Felton * 27 2-8 0-0 0-0 5 6 0 0 4 4 3 -
JR Smith * 26 5-9 1-2 1-2 8 1 0 1 1 12 12 -
Kenyon Martin * 25 8-13 1-1 1-1 10 1 1 0 2 18 15 -
Wilson Chandler * 25 5-9 3-4 3-4 5 0 1 1 0 16 14 -
Ty Lawson * 24 1-5 0-1 2-4 2 10 1 0 1 4 11 -
Danilo Gallinari * 19 1-6 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 3 1 2 4 -
Al Harrington * 16 2-7 0-3 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 5 0 -
Chris Andersen * 13 0-1 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 1 1 3 6 -

* = starter