Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +4 (93-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 12-25 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 18 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 41 | 1-18 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| LeBron James * | 41 | 12-21 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 39 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eddie House * | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| James Jones * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luol Deng * | 40 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Derrick Rose * | 37 | 9-24 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 9 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Omer Asik * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Watson * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Korver | 17 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
* = starter