Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +8 (105-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 44 | 10-18 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Al Horford * | 39 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 33 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash * | 34 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 31 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 31 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 17 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter