Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | +2.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +19 (118-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jefferson * | 39 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 29 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 36 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 33 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 28 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 25 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 11-12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Gordon Hayward * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kyrylo Fesenko * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeremy Evans | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 31 | 9-15 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-9 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 23 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 18 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter