Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +4 (109-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 41 | 9-19 | 1-3 | 11-13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 24 | - |
| Russell Westbrook * | 35 | 9-24 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 34 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Serge Ibaka * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| James Harden * | 28 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Nenad Krstic * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 13 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Eric Maynor * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Collison | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 32 | 2-13 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 28 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| George Hill * | 28 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 26 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 23 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter