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2011-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 37.9% 62.1% -
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% -
Margin 31.8% 68.2% +4.2 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +5 (118-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luol Deng * 42 7-16 2-6 3-3 2 2 2 0 1 19 8 -
Derrick Rose * 38 8-22 2-6 14-16 1 10 1 0 3 32 19 -
Carlos Boozer * 32 9-20 0-0 6-8 6 1 1 0 2 24 10 -
Joakim Noah * 24 3-7 0-0 1-2 16 1 0 0 3 7 14 -
Kurt Thomas * 22 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 2 7 -
Ronnie Brewer * 20 4-5 0-0 3-4 2 1 3 0 0 11 12 -
Taj Gibson * 16 2-8 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Keith Bogans * 15 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
C.J. Watson * 9 2-3 1-1 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
Kyle Korver 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 0 -
Omer Asik 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrea Bargnani * 41 7-19 0-3 10-11 8 4 1 0 3 24 15 -
Jose Calderon * 39 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 17 3 0 4 6 18 -
Amir Johnson * 33 8-8 0-0 1-1 4 1 2 3 1 17 18 -
DeMar DeRozan * 32 8-17 0-0 8-8 3 4 0 0 0 24 14 -
James Johnson * 26 2-4 0-1 5-6 5 0 0 3 1 9 12 -
Leandro Barbosa * 20 6-8 0-0 1-1 3 2 0 1 1 13 10 -
Sonny Weems * 16 4-5 0-0 4-4 0 0 0 0 1 12 6 -
Ed Davis * 12 3-4 0-0 3-3 5 0 1 1 1 9 11 -
Jerryd Bayless * 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -3 -
Alexis Ajinca * 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -

* = starter