Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.1% | 83.9% | +9.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +24 (104-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 27 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 26 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Al Horford * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Josh Powell * | 14 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Damien Wilkins | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Shannon Brown * | 27 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Andrew Bynum * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 19 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Devin Ebanks | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Caracter | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Joe Smith | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter