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2011-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 51.4% 48.6% -
Bradley-Terry 44.1% 55.9% -
Margin 41.2% 58.8% +2.0 (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +24 (104-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Smith * 27 3-9 0-2 1-4 6 3 1 2 2 7 8 -
Jamal Crawford * 27 4-9 0-3 4-4 0 3 0 0 0 12 6 -
Marvin Williams * 27 4-13 1-4 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 9 4 -
Joe Johnson * 26 6-14 0-2 2-2 1 4 0 1 2 14 4 -
Al Horford * 26 6-9 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 0 0 13 13 -
Maurice Evans * 23 3-9 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 7 0 -
Mike Bibby * 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Jason Collins * 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Josh Powell * 14 2-10 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 0 6 2 -
Jeff Teague * 12 1-1 0-0 3-4 2 2 2 0 0 5 10 -
Zaza Pachulia * 12 0-2 0-0 5-8 2 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
Damien Wilkins 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 2 2 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pau Gasol * 33 4-9 0-0 6-9 10 4 1 2 2 14 20 -
Shannon Brown * 27 6-9 2-4 1-1 1 1 0 0 3 15 5 -
Kobe Bryant * 26 5-11 2-4 8-8 3 5 2 0 1 20 18 -
Andrew Bynum * 25 1-3 0-0 3-4 15 1 0 3 2 5 19 -
Steve Blake * 24 1-2 0-1 4-6 4 4 0 1 1 6 12 -
Derek Fisher * 24 3-7 0-0 4-4 4 2 1 0 0 10 10 -
Metta World Peace * 23 4-7 1-3 2-2 1 1 1 0 2 11 5 -
Lamar Odom * 20 3-4 1-1 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 9 10 -
Luke Walton * 12 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
Devin Ebanks 8 2-4 0-1 4-4 2 0 0 1 1 8 6 -
Derrick Caracter 7 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Joe Smith 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 1 2 3 -

* = starter