Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✓ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +13 (120-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Allen * | 31 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 10-14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Sam Young * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 29 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| O.J. Mayo * | 29 | 8-14 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Zach Randolph * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Marc Gasol * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Darrell Arthur * | 21 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| DeMarre Carroll * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Xavier Henry | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Hasheem Thabeet | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Greivis Vasquez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JR Smith * | 42 | 9-22 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 40 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 38 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 22 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
* = starter