Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +20 (117-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Thompson * | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Samuel Dalembert * | 31 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| DeMarcus Cousins * | 28 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Omri Casspi * | 25 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Donte Greene * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Jermaine Taylor * | 23 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Pooh Jeter * | 20 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Luther Head * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Darnell Jackson | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 35 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 11-20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| LeBron James * | 30 | 14-26 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 13 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 28 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Eddie House * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| James Jones * | 26 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter