Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✗ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -6 (106-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Kidd * | 41 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 19 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 13-18 | 3-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 21 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 19 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Rodrigue Beaubois * | 19 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Channing Frye * | 38 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 36 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 31 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 30 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Robin Lopez * | 24 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Marcin Gortat * | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jared Dudley * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
* = starter