Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | +1.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -7 (103-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 16-29 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 41 | 27 | - |
| LeBron James * | 40 | 11-20 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 39 | 8-16 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Eddie House * | 21 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| James Jones * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 33 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Paul George * | 31 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Darren Collison * | 31 | 1-11 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Hansbrough * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Josh McRoberts * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| AJ Price * | 16 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
* = starter