Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✓ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +19 (121-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 36 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 29 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 27 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| JR Smith * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 21 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Battier * | 31 | 7-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 25 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 25 | 8-14 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 20 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 19 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ish Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter