Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.4% | 54.6% | +1.0 | ✗ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -15 (79-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Smith * | 41 | 11-17 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 39 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 36 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 33 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Jamal Crawford * | 29 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Al Horford * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Teague | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Josh Powell | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Stuckey * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Greg Monroe * | 33 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 27 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 23 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 18 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 16 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| DaJuan Summers | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter