Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.8% | 64.2% | +3.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +3 (85-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 43 | 10-21 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 41 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 25 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eddie House * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 20 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Mario Chalmers * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| James Jones | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Erick Dampier | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajon Rondo * | 43 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 42 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 39 | 0-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Kevin Garnett * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 13 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Nate Robinson * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Avery Bradley | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter