Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -4 (102-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 33 | 8-16 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 32 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 30 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 27 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 23 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Battier * | 39 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 38 | 10-24 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 28 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 27 | 2-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -4 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Hill * | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Patterson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter