Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.1% | 32.9% | -3.9 | ✓ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -24 (94-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill * | 32 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 30 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 20 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 20 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 18 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 8 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cartier Martin * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Trevor Booker * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| John Wall * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| JaVale McGee * | 25 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Nick Young * | 19 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 | - |
| Jianlian Yi * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Mustafa Shakur | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
* = starter