Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +1 (121-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 9-17 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 31 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 27 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 26 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ian Mahinmi * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 42 | 17-25 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 24 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 39 | 10-19 | 5-11 | 5-5 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 26 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 34 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| JR Smith * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ty Lawson | 25 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Gary Forbes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter