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2011-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 59.3% 40.7% - ✗
Margin 63.4% 36.6% -3.0 ✗ (27.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% - ✗

Actual: Phoenix Suns +24 (112-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ekpe Udoh * 30 8-12 0-0 0-2 7 0 3 0 2 16 12 -
Reggie Williams * 28 3-9 1-5 9-10 4 6 0 0 1 16 16 -
Monta Ellis * 28 4-13 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 8 -4 -
David Lee * 25 5-12 0-0 1-1 3 4 0 0 1 11 5 -
Brandan Wright * 24 5-7 0-0 0-3 2 2 2 2 0 10 11 -
Stephen Curry * 24 5-9 2-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 12 4 -
Dorell Wright * 22 1-9 1-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 -4 -
Jeremy Lin * 17 1-5 0-0 0-1 3 2 1 0 0 2 3 -
Charlie Bell * 16 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 6 2 -
Vladimir Radmanovic * 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 2 6 -
Andris Biedrins * 10 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 2 0 2 3 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Channing Frye * 28 6-12 4-6 1-2 9 0 1 0 1 17 14 -
Marcin Gortat * 27 3-7 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 2 6 7 -
Grant Hill * 26 3-6 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 6 2 -
Steve Nash * 26 6-10 3-4 3-3 2 11 0 0 7 18 14 -
Mickael Pietrus * 24 3-5 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 3 1 8 9 -
Zabian Dowdell * 21 5-10 0-0 0-0 5 6 1 1 1 10 12 -
Jared Dudley * 20 5-8 3-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 13 7 -
Hakim Warrick * 19 4-9 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 3 8 5 -
Vince Carter * 16 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 6 6 -
Robin Lopez * 15 3-8 0-0 6-7 6 0 0 1 0 12 11 -
Josh Childress 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Garret Siler 4 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter