Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | +4.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +2 (116-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arron Afflalo * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 35 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 32 | 11-21 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 12 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| JR Smith * | 26 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 21 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Lee * | 43 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 43 | 8-20 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 26 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 42 | 16-30 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 37 | 13 | - |
| Reggie Williams * | 29 | 7-10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 29 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Ekpe Udoh * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jeremy Lin | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter