Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -11 (100-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Hill * | 36 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 36 | 14-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 25 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tiago Splitter * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Steve Novak | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Calderon * | 40 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 38 | 13-20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 12 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Sonny Weems * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 27 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Ed Davis * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Alexis Ajinca | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Julian Wright | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter