Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.5% | 34.5% | -3.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -11 (89-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 35 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| George Hill * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 30 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| DeJuan Blair * | 29 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 27 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 13 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Gary Neal * | 11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Tiago Splitter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Steve Novak | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Monroe * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 29 | 5-15 | 1-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Austin Daye * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 27 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ben Gordon * | 23 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -4 | - |
| Will Bynum * | 23 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter