Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -5 (103-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Scola * | 39 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 39 | 12-26 | 4-8 | 9-12 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 37 | 22 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 37 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 8-10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Chase Budinger * | 23 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Courtney Lee * | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ish Smith * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Patterson * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 39 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 16-18 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 50 | 37 | - |
| Ty Lawson * | 34 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| JR Smith * | 34 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Gary Forbes * | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter